Page 13 - ISQ October 2020
P. 13

INVESTMENT STRATEGY QUARTERLY



           This feeling of slightly slipping behind the curve is a common   Meanwhile ‘Suganomics’ is likely to be a continuation series
           one for those looking at the Japanese economy from outside.    of policies with an initial focus on securing a longer political
           For all its global creative influences over time, the 21st cen-  term via a general election in the next year (and possibly much
           tury has been more influenced by other Asian powers such as   sooner) as opposition parties appear very fragmented. So,
           South Korea and - inevitably - China.              exciting times potentially for political watchers, if less so for
                                                              economic or financial market ones. But this does not mean
           However, at least at a corporate level Japan does still have a   the Japanese market is not of interest for investors. Being
           few cards to play. Helpfully during the ongoing pandemic, the   active can always carry its own rewards.
           high average cash positions have provided a buffer and there
           have been some minor signs of improving shareholder corpo-
           rate governance. And whilst Japan was the originator of the
           ‘zombie company’ concept - generally defined as companies   KEY TAKEAWAYS:
           which without banking sector support would be insolvent as   •   Yoshihide Suga recently took over as the
           they struggle to cover their interest payments - this is a   Japanese prime minister from the long-serving
           growing concern in economies all around the world.          Shinzo Abe

           Japan feels like a financial market that individual stock selec-  •   Monetary and fiscal policy initiatives appear
           tors can especially add value in. Certainly Warren Buffett’s   unlikely to particularly change
           recent investments in the country captured a few headlines   •   The Japanese market which consistently over
           and should inspire others. But whilst such bottom-up instincts   recent years has maintained an ‘undervalued
           and actions may prove opportunistic, do not be lulled into   but underowned’ in the world’s biggest regular
           thinking the broader ‘top-down’ picture is particularly     fund management survey
           evolving.  Akin to the pan-European markets, the composition
           of the Japanese bourse is quite cyclical / value centred and   •   Japan feels like a financial market that indi-
           would disproportionately benefit from a general global      vidual stock selectors can especially add value
           recovery from the pandemic. Global perception will also be   in
           aided by a successful hosting of the Olympics which currently
           are still set to be hosted next summer following the pandem-
           ic-induced postponement.



                          Robots installed per 10,000 employees in
                          manufacturing businesses in 2019


                          The U.K. has the lowest robot density among leading economies

                              Robots installed per 10,000 employees in manufacturing in 2019
                            Singapore                                                       918
                               Korea                                                    855
                               Japan                       364
                             Germany                      346
                                 U.S.              228
                                Italy             212
                          Netherlands            194
                              France            177
                              Canada           165
                          Switzerland          161
                                U.K.      89

                          Source: International Federation of Robotics







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