Page 13 - ISQ July 2021
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JULY 2021



                                               STOXX 600: 2021 EARNINGS GROWTH
                                                       (Selected Sectors)

                            Sector                     2021 Earnings (Euro Billions)  2021 Growth %


                            Technology                                    43              11.9

                            Industrials                                  47.7
                                                                                          130.1
                            Healthcare                                   67.1
                                                                                           4.0

                            Financials                                   133.5
                                                                                          30.3
                            Consumer (non-cyclical)                      62.8
                                                                                           9.3

                            Consumer (cyclical)                          64.2
                                                                                          179.8
                            Base Materials                               64.8
                                                                                          70.4


                        Source: I/B/E/S data




           kets. The recovery of the pound and euro against many other   Year-to-date performance from the U.K. and European equity
           global currencies over the last year has been a reflection of   markets has been strong.  Whilst there can always be volatility in
           greater confidence, but overall enthusiasm levels are still   financial markets, the debate appears to be more set for next
           modest against the norms of five or ten years ago.  Once again, it   year rather than the rest of this year, given the current scope for
           can be easy to overly rely on recent data.           improving full year 2021 realities. Prospects for 2022 and beyond
                                                                however remains more of a debate, especially if global inves-
           And the third key influence?  Unsurprisingly this relates to spe-  tors’ confidence continues to grow. Active investment will be
           cific supply issues.  The U.K. and European markets are always   more and more critical for equity markets in the U.K. and
           influenced by their sector specific investment exposures and   Europe.
           underlying global market exposure.  Certainly by contrast
           indices in the United States or Hong Kong / China not only have
           a higher technology sector allocation but also a much greater
           focus on their respective domestic profitability.  On the former   KEY TAKEAWAYS:
           observation, sector allocations in the U.K. and European equity   •  U.K. and European stock markets have performed
           markets are higher in the financial, healthcare, basic materials   well year-to-date.
           and consumer sectors than technology.  Whilst on the latter
           point - compared to the U.S. market - there is a proportionately   •  Prospects remain strong for 2021 but markets always
           heightened impact from the emerging markets.  Such different   look forward.
           sector exposures helps to explains some of the equity market   •  Global investors are set to keep raised allocation
           performance differences over the last decade and the con-   levels.
           trasting performance of the last seven or eight months in   •  Heightened active investment focus.
           particular.  As for future equity market prospects it highlights to
           all investors importance of active investment in the U.K. and
           European equity markets for the rest of this year, next year and
           beyond.





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