Page 9 - April ISQ 2021
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APRIL 2021















                                                              how the Biden administration uses executive action (e.g., fuel
                                                              economy standards, oil and gas permitting rules, and tariff
           “                                                  policy) to incrementally boost decarbonisation, as well as what
              More than 280 large companies around
              the world, encompassing nearly every            happens at the state level. Much like in the US, many other juris-
                                                              dictions around the world are not yet ready to enact sweeping
              industry, have committed to source              climate reforms but still have some targeted policies, such as a
              100% of their electricity from                  coal  phase-out,  a  carbon  tax,  a  renewable  electricity  or  fuel

              renewable sources.    ”                         mandate, or an energy audit requirement for buildings. Con-
                                                              trary to conventional wisdom that only high-income countries
                                                              have the ‘luxury’ to approve such policies, in reality there are
                                                              plenty of emerging markets that are active in energy transition
                                                              – most notably China, which in January 2021 launched what
                                                              will eventually become the world’s largest carbon trading pro-
           POLICY MILESTONES
                                                              gram.
           On the policy front, there are some specific milestones that we
           are tracking in 2021. In December 2020, the European Union   SUSTAINABLE INVESTING
           approved the European Climate Law, thereby becoming the
           world’s largest carbon emitter to impose a legally binding man-  Alongside the fundamental drivers mentioned above, sustain-
           date for net zero CO2 emissions by 2050. As the details of the   able (ESG)  investing — and, more specifically, climate investing
           implementation roadmap are unveiled over time, the entire   — is raising the importance of energy transition for manage-
           European economy will need to be transformed — not solely   ment teams, particularly at publicly-traded companies. Broadly
           the ‘usual suspects’ (power plants and transport). The UK is no   speaking, there are two approaches to climate investing, and
           longer an EU member, but it has had equivalent legislation   these are not mutually exclusive. First, investors can exclude
           since 2019. In the run-up to the United Nations climate confer-  those companies that are having a disproportionately negative
           ence this November, more countries will set net zero targets   effect on the climate. Second, they can favour those companies
           — China, Japan, and South Africa have already signaled plans   that are creating beneficial climate-oriented solutions. Here are
           to do so — though the details are more important than the   the key statistics vis-à-vis ESG: as of 2020, $16.6 trillion of pro-
           headlines. President Biden has proposed the same policy for   fessionally-managed assets (equity and debt combined) in the
           the US, as well as a 100% carbon-free electricity mandate by   US are covered by one or more ESG criteria, up 56% from 2018.
           2035 and $2 trillion of federal spending on energy transition   Remarkably, this represents fully one-third of all managed
           over four years. We are not confident that any of this can get   assets. Within the $16.6 trillion pie, the largest single slice — cli-
           through the narrowly divided  House, and  the 50/50 Senate   mate funds — accounts for $4.2 trillion. Meanwhile, the
           looms as an especially tough hurdle. Thus, we will be watching   worldwide total of funds with a fossil fuel divestment policy is
                                                              approaching $20 trillion, though the vast majority of the divest-
                                                              ments pertain solely to coal, at least for now. Divestments are
           Milestones in Sustainable Policy                   more common in Europe than elsewhere, and more common


             1984         1990         2006         2020         2020          2021         2030         2050



            Social Investment  Launch of the   Launch of the   European Climate   John Kerry   China launched   UN sustainable   EU target date
              Forum founded  Domini Social   Principles   Law approved  appointed   what will become   development goals   for net zero CO2
                          Index, the first   for Responsible        special   the world's largest   target date  emissions
                            socially    Investment                presidential   carbon trading
                           responsible    (PRI)                    envoy for    program
                           investment                               climate
                             index






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